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Zack Cimini
Beat the Odds: March Madness 3/29

Vegas expert Zack Cimini uses his insight in games and betting lines to provide picks you need for March Madness tournaments on DraftKings

Mar 29th

We’re one day away from finding out the final four teams to advance to the Elite 8.  It’s hard to believe how fast the tournament settles in a matter of ten days. Zack Cimini takes a look at some prime players for Friday of DFS value.

Virginia Tech vs Duke

Earlier this season the Hokies upset Duke whom was minus their point guard in Tre Jones. The Hokies were also without their key point guard in Justin Robinson. The key for this being a DFS friendly matchup is people sidestepping the matchup due to it being that both teams are from the ACC. Yet they both faced each other just one time unlike some conference matchups that played three times in the regular season.

Ahmed Hill-Virginia Tech $5,400

On February 26th in the victory over Duke, Ahmed Hill scored 17 points on just ten shots. The senior has been a fixture for the Hokies averaging nine points or greater since he was a freshman. He has the size at 6’5 to be a player of prime emphasis for the Hokies. Duke’s pace of play is also a key factor as several Hokies should over produce from their season averages.

Tre Jones-Duke $6,300

It’s clear that opposing teams do not respect Jones ability to make shots. Teams have backed off of him for the majority of the second half of the season, as he has not shown consistency to shoot beyond fifteen feet. With Virginia Tech’s smaller lineup Jones will have chances to attack off the dribble and create shots for Duke’s future first round picks. Look for Jones to be a low risk high reward DFS value play for Friday.

LSU vs Michigan State

LSU was a team that many anticipated being upset last week. Their point spread went down nearly two points against Yale and also dwindled against Maryland. Yet sheer talent has been the difference as LSU went one on one with their point guard to score the game-winning basket against Maryland. The Spartans have been known for their lapses offensively but are one of the best at going on an offensive surge.

Skyler Mays-LSU $6,100

After a clunker SEC tournament game against Florida (6 points), Mays has responded with two strong tournament games. Mays has the ability to create and adjust to the defense he sees. That’s an uncommon skillset against tournament teams that don’t have advanced scouting like the SEC has.

Matt McQuaid-Michigan State $4,600

Leaning on upperclassmen has been a vital key for all of Tom Izzo’s team that advance in NCAA tournamnets. McQuaid is a crafty player that doesn’t necessarily look for his shots all the time. In fact McQuaid only attempts seven shots a game but has incredible efficiency averaging nearly ten points a game. The team looks for him primarily on the three-point line where he averages five attempts a game. Look for McQuaid to be a bargain play as he scores in the mid-teens.

Game to Avoid Due to Pace or Blowout: North Carolina vs. Auburn – Thus far the two potent offensive teams that have put on strong showcases have been Auburn and North Carolina. Both easily won in their second matchups of the NCAA tournament with outstanding efficient offense. Envisioning this matchup being the top DFS player percentages for Friday is a value against utilization. One of these teams could easily get out in front and play to a similar frenzy we saw in the round of thirty-two.

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Zack Cimini
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