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Tommy Morris
College Football Picks Championship Weekend

@RealTommyMorris tells you who to bet on this weekend.

Dec 18th

Ball State (+13.5) @ Buffalo (Neutral site)

Yo’Heinz Tyler has been a weapon this season for the Cardinals.

For two teams in the same conference it’s rare to see them only have one common opponent so there are little reference points for this game. Buffalo comes in undefeated and untested. The MAC West (Ball State’s side) has been much more competitive this season. Buffalo has blown out everyone on their schedule so this should be the first time that they will play a game where all 4 quarters matter. Ball State will be without starting running back Caleb Huntley who opted out of the rest of the season but he hasn’t played since the third game so it won’t matter. If you want to take a real long shot take Ball State +400.

Oklahoma (-5.5) vs. Iowa State (Neutral site)

Spencer Rattler has been a completely different QB since being benched.

Iowa State surprised Oklahoma week 3 but that was a completely different Oklahoma team and a completely different Spencer Rattler. The next game vs. Texas Rattler was benched for around a quarter and then after having learned his lesson was subbed back in. Since that moment he has thrown 14 TDs and only 2 INTs in 5.5 games. In their first game OU scored 30 points, expect them to put up over 40 in this one.

Air Force (-2.5) @ Army

Air Force and Army play for the Commander and Chief Trophy.

Army is 8-2 but their schedule is padded with FCS opponents. This will be Air Force’s first true away game with the cadets in the stands. One would think that should help Army but since both team’s offense don’t rely too much on communication it won’t matter. Two games in Army’s season that are red flags; close win vs The Citadel and close win vs. Navy. Both of those teams have run heavy offenses and Army struggled because Army normally benefits from teams not used to their run heavy offense. Air Force will be ready.

San Jose State (+6.5) vs. Boise State (Neutral site)

Bailey Gaither has been an intrical part of the Spartans prolific passing attack.

This isn’t your father’s San Jose State Spartans. Just two years ago they only won one game and this year they are undefeated. A lot of the credit for that can be given to transfer QB Nick Starkel who has the best passer rating in the conference. The defense also deserves to be mentioned for only allowing 17.5 points per game, second best in the conference. Boise State’s starting QB Hank Bachmeier returned last week but he’s still rusty after missing two games and 4 total weeks.

Stanford (+7.5) @ UCLA

Austin Jones has been on of the most efficient runners in the conference.

UCLA’s super bowl was last week against USC. They will now play a conference game while the Trojans play in the Pac-12 Championship the same week so expect a let down. Stanford lost their first two games of the season but one was when they were without starting QB Davis Mills. Austin Jones has been solid on the ground for the Cardinal in an offense that impressively been so balanced that they have passed 189 times and ran 190 this season.

Insight by
Tommy Morris
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