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Nick Whalen
Nick Whalen’s Post-Draft Rookie Rankings Revealed

Nick Whalen demonstrates how his rookie rankings evolved after this weekend’s NFL Draft.

Apr 29th

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Overview

Whew, what an NFL Draft! I had many jaw dropping reactions in the first round and it continued throughout the entire three days. Which is exactly why I love the it! One important thing to remember is NFL teams are picking players to fit certain roles on their teams. They aren’t picking players to put up statistics or for fantasy football purposes. This is why our rankings and expectations rarely match what happens in the draft both before and after the event. Therefore, I’m going to be transparent with my post draft rankings as I adjust to account for what NFL teams said about prospects.

DETAILED QB RANKINGS

DETAILED RB RANKINGS

DETAILED WR RANKINGS

DETAILED TE RANKINGS

2019 Rookie Pre-Draft Overall Rankings

The following rankings are based on a start 1 QB and PPR league:

#Name | College Team
1Hakeem Butler | Iowa State
2AJ Brown | Mississippi
3N’Keal Harry | Arizona State
4Darrell Henderson | Memphis
5DK Metcalf | Mississippi
6TJ Hockenson | Iowa
7Noah Fant | Iowa
8Damien Harris | Alabama
9Josh Jacobs | Alabama
10Preston Williams | Colorado State
11Deebo Samuel | South Carolina
12Miles Sanders | Penn State
13Miles Boykin | Notre Dame
14Emanuel Hall | Missouri
15Dexter Williams | Notre Dame
16Kelvin Harmon | North Carolina State
17Marquise Brown | Oklahoma
18Kyler Murray | Oklahoma
19David Montgomery | Iowa State
20Rodney Anderson | Oklahoma
21Greg Dortch | Wake Forest
22Andy Isabella | Massachusetts
23Jalen Hurd | Baylor
24JJ Arcega-Whiteside | Stanford

The following rankings are based on a superflex / 2-QB (+PPR) leagues:

#Name | College Team
1Kyler Murray | Oklahoma
2Hakeem Butler | Iowa State
3AJ Brown | Mississippi
4N’Keal Harry | Arizona State
5Darrell Henderson | Memphis
6DK Metcalf | Mississippi
7TJ Hockenson | Iowa
8Noah Fant | Iowa
9Dwayne Haskins | Ohio State
10Will Grier | West Virginia
11Damien Harris | Alabama
12Josh Jacobs | Alabama
13Preston Williams | Colorado State
14Deebo Samuel | South Carolina
15Miles Sanders | Penn State
16Miles Boykin | Notre Dame
17Drew Lock | Missouri
18Emanuel Hall | Missouri
19Dexter Williams | Notre Dame
20Kelvin Harmon | North Carolina State
21Marquise Brown | Oklahoma
22David Montgomery | Iowa State
23Rodney Anderson | Oklahoma
24Greg Dortch | Wake Forest

The following rankings are based on a start 1 QB and PPR leagues with TE premium:

#Name | College Team
1Hakeem Butler | Iowa State
2AJ Brown | Mississippi
3TJ Hockenson | Iowa
4Noah Fant | Iowa
5N’Keal Harry | Arizona State
6Darrell Henderson | Memphis
7DK Metcalf | Mississippi
8Damien Harris | Alabama
9Josh Jacobs | Alabama
10Preston Williams | Colorado State
11Deebo Samuel | South Carolina
12Miles Sanders | Penn State
13Miles Boykin | Notre Dame
14Emanuel Hall | Missouri
15Dexter Williams | Notre Dame
16Kelvin Harmon | North Carolina State
17Marquise Brown | Oklahoma
18Irv Smith Jr. | Alabama
19Kyler Murray | Oklahoma
20David Montgomery | Iowa State
21Rodney Anderson | Oklahoma
22Kahale Warring | San Diego State
23Jace Sternberger | Texas A&M
24Dawson Knox | Mississippi

2019 Rookie Post-Draft Overall Rankings

The following rankings are based on a start 1 QB and PPR league:

#Name | NFL Team
1N’Keal Harry | New England
2Joshua Jacobs | Oakland
3AJ Brown | Tennessee
4TJ Hockenson | Detroit
5Noah Fant | Denver
6Deebo Samuel | San Francisco
7Miles Sanders | Philadelphia
8Hakeem Butler | Arizona
9DK Metcalf | Seattle
10David Montgomery | Chicago
11Kyler Murray | Arizona
12Darrell Henderson | LA Rams
13Andy Isabella | Arizona
14Mecole Hardman | Kansas City
15Parris Campbell | Indianapolis
16JJ Arcega-Whiteside | Philadelphia
17Miles Boykin | Baltimore
18Jalen Hurd | San Francisco
19Marquise Brown | Baltimore
20Devin Singletary | Buffalo
21Irv Smith | Minnesota
22Preston Williams | Miami
23Kelvin Harmon | Washington
24Dwayne Haskins | Washington

Tier 1

N’Keal Harry, Joshua Jacobs, AJ Brown are tier 1. I’d argue none of them landed in a great situation. Harry needs development, Jacobs has many question marks, and Brown landed in a low volume passing attack with an underachieving QB. But due to draft capital, skillset and/or opportunity, they’re the players I feel the best about that don’t play TE.

Tier 1.5

TJ Hockenson and Noah Fant. I know what you’re thinking “This is too early for a non-premium TE.” Look at the top finishing teams last year in your league. They likely had Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, or George Kittle on them. It was a huge advantage to have big TE production. Now look at the rest of this class and tell me who’s a locked in top tier player at their position? I struggle to find them unless I reach. Hockenson and Fant aren’t reaches. They’re both very good players, who are good athletes, with good size, who landed in good situations without an elite player hogging all the targets.

Tier 2

Deebo Samuel at #6 through David Montgomery at #10. These players all have solid potential to be FF factors, but all carry risk. Deebo lands on a team without a true #1 WR, but the passing attack has huge potential. If 2017 Deebo walks on the field for the 49ers, big things are in store. Miles Sanders and David Montgomery have teams that like to spread the wealth at the position. Both players dance more than I like and have flaws in their game. However, they both have solid opportunities and can catch. Upside is capped as a low end RB2, which hurts their ranking. Hakeem Butler and DK Metcalf are huge WR’s with big upside. They also both dropped further in the draft than most expected and this affected their ranking. I like both of their quarterbacks, which helps them.

Tier 3

#11 Kyler Murray through #16 JJ Arcega-Whiteside. Murray has the upside to be a QB1, but in a start 1 QB setting his ranking is lower. Isabella through JJ Arcega-Whiteside are receivers who landed in good passing situations with good quarterbacks. They have lower floors but high ceilings. Henderson is a player I really like and landed in a great situation, outside of Todd Gurley. If his health is good, Henderson’s role is a change of pace player.

Tier 4

#17 Boykin through #21 Irv Smith is the next tier. I don’t trust Lamar Jackson, which makes it difficult to rank Boykin or Brown highly, despite their talent. Hurd has decent potential but still raw as a WR. Singletary isn’t a great athlete and Smith is a good TE prospect, but won’t see as many targets in Minnesota.

Tier 5

Preston Williams is a long shot, but has talent. Harmon fell in the draft and landed with Haskins in Washington. Both have low ceilings, but worth a gamble this late in drafts.

The following rankings are based on a superflex / 2-QB (+PPR) leagues:

#Name | NFL Team
1Kyler Murray | Arizona
2N’Keal Harry | New England
3Joshua Jacobs | Oakland
4AJ Brown | Tennessee
5TJ Hockenson | Detroit
6Noah Fant | Denver
7Dwayne Haskins | Washington
8Deebo Samuel | San Francisco
9Miles Sanders | Philadelphia
10Hakeem Butler | Arizona
11DK Metcalf | Seattle
12David Montgomery | Chicago
13Darrell Henderson | LA Rams
14Drew Lock | Denver
15Andy Isabella | Arizona
16Mecole Hardman | Kansas City
17Parris Campbell | Indianapolis
18JJ Arcega-Whiteside | Philadelphia
19Daniel Jones | NY Giants
20Miles Boykin | Baltimore
21Jalen Hurd | San Francisco
22Marquise Brown | Baltimore
23Devin Singletary | Buffalo
24Irv Smith | Minnesota

Tier 1

The biggest difference with superflex rankings is Kyler Murray gets the top tier all by himself. His potential in this format could be the difference maker.

Tier 2

N’Keal Harry, Joshua Jacobs, AJ Brown are tier 2. I’d argue none of them landed in a great situation. Harry needs development, Jacobs has many question marks, and Brown landed in a low volume passing attack with an underachieving QB. But due to draft capital, skillset and/or opportunity, they’re the players I feel the best about that don’t play TE.

Tier 2.5

Dwayne Haskin, TJ Hockenson and Noah Fant. I know what you’re thinking “This is too early for a non-premium TE.” Look at the top finishing teams last year in your league. They likely had Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, or George Kittle on them. It was a huge advantage to have big TE production. Now look at the rest of this class and tell me who’s a locked in top tier player at their position? I struggle to find them unless I reach. Hockenson and Fant aren’t reaches. They’re both very good players, who are good athletes, with good size, who landed in good situations without an elite player hogging all the targets. Haskins is the next player off the board after the elites and TE’s due to format.

Tier 3

Deebo Samuel at #8 through David Montgomery at #12. These players all have solid potential to be FF factors, but all carry risk. Deebo lands on a team without a true #1 WR, but the passing attack has huge potential. If 2017 Deebo walks on the field for the 49ers, big things are in store. Miles Sanders and David Montgomery have teams that like to spread the wealth at the position. Both players dance more than I like and have flaws in their game. However, they both have solid opportunities and can catch. Upside is capped as a low end RB2, which hurts their ranking. Hakeem Butler and DK Metcalf are huge WR’s with big upside. They also both dropped further in the draft than most expected and this affected their ranking. I like both of their quarterbacks, which helps them.

Tier 3

#13 Darrell Henderson through #18 JJ Arcega-Whiteside. Drew Lock enters this tier as the next best quarterback and he has some good young weapons in Denver. Isabella through JJ Arcega-Whiteside are receivers who landed in good passing situations with good quarterbacks. They have lower floors but high ceilings. Henderson is a player I really like and landed in a great situation, outside of Todd Gurley. If his health is good, Henderson’s role is a change of pace player.

Tier 4

#19 Daniel Jones through #24 Irv Smith is the next tier. Daniel Jones is a player you have to take a risk on at some point and he has some great weapons in New York. I don’t trust Lamar Jackson, which makes it difficult to rank Boykin or Brown highly, despite their talent. Hurd has decent potential but still raw as a WR. Singletary isn’t a great athlete and Smith is a good TE prospect, but won’t see as many targets in Minnesota.

The following rankings are based on a start 1 QB and PPR leagues with TE premium:

#Name | NFL Team
1N’Keal Harry | New England
2Joshua Jacobs | Oakland
3TJ Hockenson | Detroit
4Noah Fant | Denver
5AJ Brown | Tennessee
6Deebo Samuel | San Francisco
7Miles Sanders | Philadelphia
8Hakeem Butler | Arizona
9DK Metcalf | Seattle
10David Montgomery | Chicago
11Kyler Murray | Arizona
12Darrell Henderson | LA Rams
13Andy Isabella | Arizona
14Mecole Hardman | Kansas City
15Parris Campbell | Indianapolis
16JJ Arcega-Whiteside | Philadelphia
17Irv Smith | Minnesota
18Miles Boykin | Baltimore
19Jalen Hurd | San Francisco
20Marquise Brown | Baltimore
21Devin Singletary | Buffalo
22Preston Williams | Miami
23Kelvin Harmon | Washington
24Kahale Warring | Houston

Tier 1

N’Keal Harry, Joshua Jacobs, AJ Brown are tier 1. I’d argue none of them landed in a great situation. Harry needs development, Jacobs has many question marks, and Brown landed in a low volume passing attack with an underachieving QB. But due to draft capital, skillset and/or opportunity, they’re the players I feel the best about.

TJ Hockenson and Noah Fant jump into this tier due to the format. They’re both very good players, who are good athletes, with good size, who landed in good situations without an elite player hogging all the targets.

Tier 2

Deebo Samuel at #6 through David Montgomery at #10. These players all have solid potential to be FF factors, but all carry risk. Deebo lands on a team without a true #1 WR, but the passing attack has huge potential. If 2017 Deebo walks on the field for the 49ers, big things are in store. Miles Sanders and David Montgomery have teams that like to spread the wealth at the position. Both players dance more than I like and have flaws in their game. However, they both have solid opportunities and can catch. Upside is capped as a low end RB2, which hurts their ranking. Hakeem Butler and DK Metcalf are huge WR’s with big upside. They also both dropped further in the draft than most expected and this affected their ranking. I like both of their quarterbacks, which helps them.

Tier 3

#11 Kyler Murray through #17 Irv Smith. Murray has the upside to be a QB1, but in a start 1 QB setting his ranking is lower. Isabella through JJ Arcega-Whiteside are receivers who landed in good passing situations with good quarterbacks. They have lower floors but high ceilings. Irv Smith Jr. gets a bump into this tier due to format, although Diggs and Theilen limit his ceiling.

Tier 4

#18 Boykin through #21 Devin Singletary is the next tier. I don’t trust Lamar Jackson, which makes it difficult to rank Boykin or Brown highly, despite their talent. Hurd has decent potential but still raw as a WR. Singletary isn’t a great athlete, but has a chance in Buffalo.

Tier 5

Preston Williams is a long shot, but has talent. Harmon fell in the draft, but landed on a team without a true #1 WR. Kahale Warring joins a good young QB and may step right into a starting role.

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Nick Whalen
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