Will Grier may be Nick’s boldest ranked quarterback coming in at #3. Grier grades out as a first round selection and future NFL starter. Depending on his landing spot, he could be a great late value in dynasty rookie drafts.
Technique on deep passes
Takes too many sacks
Draft Grade: 1st Round NFL Comp: Baker Mayfield/Ryan Fitzpatrick
Full Scouting Report
Will Grier has an interesting background. He was a Parade All-American and Mr. Football USA out of high school before starting his college career at Florida, where he redshirted his first season.
In 2015, he competed for the starting job, but didn’t win. After getting some playing time, Grier worked his way to being the starter. He performed solidly for a few games before throwing four touchdowns in the first half against Mississippi for his breakout game! After a quiet game against Missouri the next week, Grier tested positive for PEDs and received a one year suspension.
Two months later, after posting a 6-0 record at Florida, Grier decided to transfer. He ultimately chose West Virginia and sat out the 2016 season, due to transfer rules, but the NCAA granted him eligibility to start the 2017 season, despite the PED and transfer timelines overlapping.
Grier is a prototypical QB prospect that he checks all of the boxes. He possesses solid size at 6’3” 212 lbs, which allows him to withstand NFL punishment. Grier was actually the #2 dual threat quarterback prospect out of high school, but this wasn’t utilized often in college. However, he can run for extra yards and showed a nose for the goalline in key situations.
Grier shows the ability to buy time in the pocket, but can become overconfident in this area, which leads to sacks. He shows a good base in the pocket and keeps his feet active to move subtly in the pocket. He throws from different platforms, but despite not getting power on these passes, he completes most of them; they occur off of a blitz or pressure and Grier keeps his eyes down the field.
Grier has a quick release, but can speed it up even more when pressured. He does a good job getting his pre snap reads and will manipulate defenses with his eyes. He shows anticipation with throwing WRs open and making footballs catchable in tight coverage.
Grier shows good touch on passes and placement for his receivers. He excels at throwing up the seams and some of his best passes are 15 to 20 yards down the field. Grier gives the appearance on film of being very confident with schemes and understanding defenses. Above average arm strength combined with his anticipation make all NFL throws right in his wheelhouse.
However, when throwing the football deep, Grier can drop his shoulder. This causes floating passes and extended time for defenses to make a play on the ball. Other times he stays on top of the football and delivers a good deep pass.
Grier is a gunslinger who makes plays in a variety of ways. He can become overconfident, which allows for sacks and trying to do too much with the football. The longer plays go off script, the worse Grier’s play becomes. He doesn’t get rattled, but he tries to do too much a times and it costs his team(see Iowa State game).
Grier trusts his arm and reads, which creates plays because he throws the football with a lot of conviction. On the contrary, he’ll throw some passes right to a defender. As with most gunslingers, you have to accept the negative plays if you want the positive to keep happening.
Despite the rollercoaster ride of his college career, success has followed Will Grier. He consistently made big plays and won big games. Combining those traits with his skills and size, I have a feeling an NFL team will give him a starting opportunity.